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I haven’t been keeping up with my Calix Cari polls this year for collage football. But now that the regular season has ended, I have found time to produce one. The events of this season have been rather unpredictable. Of course by the end of the season there were few surprises. Auburn appeared out of nowhere to become #1 on the strength of a once-in-a-decade player who fit perfectly into their offensive system. (Yay, for the booster who had cash to spare in this economy. We will see if their season stands the test of time.) But in my calculation Auburn is only #3, behind Oregon and ¡Stanford! (I still think Harbaugh would make a smooth transition into the coach’s chair at UGA but wouldn’t be there long. It’s good that Richt was retained.)

It appears my algorithm likes the Pac-10 over the SEC, and Auburn lost ground because of its tight victories, early in the season.

RankTeamRecordQuality
1Oregon12-07.3937
2Stanford11-17.2491
3Auburn13-07.1707
4Oklahoma11-27.0580
5TCU12-06.9927
6Boise St11-16.8977
7Missouri10-26.7980
8Ohio State11-16.5913
9Texas A&M9-36.5043
10Oklahoma St10-26.4876

Bama Wins 2009 Calix Cari

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The announcement is a bit late, but after beating Texas, Bama has won the 2009 Calix Cari.

RankTeamRecordQuality
1Alabama14-07.8239
2Florida13-17.4268
3Texas13-17.1820
4TCU12-16.8893
5Oregon10-36.7193
6Virginia Tech10-36.7187
7Ohio State11-26.7114
8Boise St14-06.6326
9Cincinnati12-16.5913
10Iowa11-26.4511
11Georgia Tech11-36.4444
12Penn State11-26.3350
13Brigham Young11-26.1872
14LSU9-46.1531
15Pittsburgh10-36.0738
16Southern Cal9-46.0535
17Miami FL9-46.0213
18Nebraska10-46.0208
19Oklahoma8-55.8503
20Wisconsin10-35.8343
21Arkansas8-55.7899
22Utah10-35.7644
23Clemson9-55.7595
24Mississippi9-45.7330
25Arizona8-55.6809
26Stanford8-55.6637
27West Virginia9-45.6543
28Georgia8-55.6270
29Texas Tech9-45.6112
30Oregon St8-55.6002

See below for the complete results of 2009.

Calix Cari 2009 Week 14

With the conference championship games complete my Calix Cari rankings once again agree with the pollsters: its Texas versus Alabama for the title.

Surprisingly, despite Tebow crying after visiting the wood-shed in Atlanta Florida still ranks #3, ahead of undefeated teams TCU, Cincinnati, and Boise State. Two loss Oregon comes in at #4, based on its strong showings against Cal, USC, Arizona, and Oregon State. Boise State produced the second best victory of the year (against Oregon) but couldn’t overcome a week conference schedule to rise higher than #9.

The Pac-10 placed 6 teams in the top 25, followed by Big 12 at 4, SEC, Big East, ACC, and Big 10 at 3, MWC at 2, and WAC at 1. Clearly the Pac-10’s 8-4 logjam was seen more highly than the SEC’s 7-5 logjam.

RankTeamRecordQuality
1Alabama13-07.6798
2Texas13-07.3390
3Florida12-17.2858
4Oregon10-27.0857
5TCU12-06.9550
6Cincinnati12-06.7700
7Virginia Tech9-36.6491
8Georgia Tech11-26.6343
9Boise St13-06.5395
10Ohio State10-26.4794
11LSU9-36.2673
12Iowa10-26.2457
13Miami FL9-36.2368
14Penn State10-26.1839
15Southern Cal8-46.1387
16Arizona8-46.1116
17Stanford8-46.0294
18Oregon St8-45.9837
19Pittsburgh9-35.9276
20Brigham Young10-25.8856
21West Virginia9-35.8317
22Oklahoma St9-35.8001
23Nebraska9-45.7685
24California8-45.7510
25Oklahoma7-55.7005

Calix Cari 2009 Week 11

It’s be a few weeks since I’ve calculated my rankings for collage football, but with Uga VII passing away, I figure I’d post something in honor of him.

RankTeamRecordQuality
1Alabama10-07.5935
2Florida10-07.4398
3Texas10-07.3265
4TCU10-07.2566
5Oregon8-26.9875
6Georgia Tech10-16.9202
7Cincinnati10-06.7603
8Ohio State9-26.6532
9Virginia Tech7-36.6306
10Boise St10-06.6197

RIP Uga VII

Today sucks. Uga VII has died.

Calix Cari 2009 Week 8

This is my first poll of the season, and Alabama is ranked #1, followed by Iowa and Florida. What’s interesting is that a quick look through the results reveals that Boise State’s victory of Oregon is considered the best win of any team of the year.

RankTeamRecordQuality
1Alabama8-07.8141
2Iowa8-07.7549
3Florida7-07.6983
4Oregon6-17.5908
5Southern Cal6-17.5221
6Texas7-07.4951
7TCU7-07.3465
8Virginia Tech5-27.2887
9Georgia Tech7-17.1787
10Boise St7-07.0502

Air New Zealand’s new safety video: Bare essentials of safety from Air New Zealand. (If you are not a fan of realistic body painting, you shouldn’t view the videos.)

And their new ad:

I want one

Tauntaun Sleeping Bag

I guess that would make up for the Ewok costume that I had when I was young. It was made out of brown carpet by my mom and was awesome. When I got older, I learned that True Fans™ despised Ewoks. I still like Ewoks.

Death Note

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Looking for something to do? I recommend heading over to Hulu and checking out Death Note, an amazing anime series involving power over life and death. It is an amazing cat and mouse game between a police dective, L, and Kira, a vigilantle who executes criminals by writing their names in his God-of-Death notebook.

It may seem like a simple premise, but the plot is very intricate as both L and Kira develop plans to defeat the other by predicting each others moves. In nearly every case, they know exactly what the other will do, meaning that their plans must be elaborate. Its like cops-and-robbers played on a chess board crafted by the Grim Reaper. Their creativity and cunning are astounding, and just when you think one of them has won, the other one is ready with his next move. Simply amazing.

Well the season is now over, and I can post the final, true rankings of all 726 the teams that play college football, based solely and objectively on their results and strength of schedule. As a result, Florida wins the 2008 Calix Cari.

RankTeamRecordQuality
1Florida13-18.6548
2Southern Cal12-18.3860
3Texas12-18.2603
4Oklahoma12-28.0736
5Utah13-07.7388
6Alabama12-27.5034
7Penn State11-27.4032
8Texas Tech11-27.3976
9TCU11-27.1619
10Georgia10-37.1528
11Oregon10-36.9453
12Ohio State10-36.9350
13Oregon St9-46.9265
14Boise St12-16.8864
15California9-46.8089
16Virginia Tech10-46.7947
17Mississippi9-46.7898
18Missouri10-46.7310
19Florida St9-46.7062
20Oklahoma St9-46.5858
21Nebraska9-46.5372
22Iowa9-46.5184
23Pittsburgh9-46.4954
24Georgia Tech9-46.4562
25Cincinnati11-36.4449

If you are concerned about how the truth of my rankings compare to the opinions of coaches and sportswritters, I’ve posted the Calix Cari rankings along side the Coaches’ and media polls.

Rank Calix Cari Coaches' AP
1 Florida Florida Florida
2 Southern Cal USC Utah
3 Texas Texas USC
4 Oklahoma Utah Texas
5 Utah Oklahoma Oklahoma
6 Alabama Alabama Alabama
7 Penn State TCU TCU
8 Texas Tech Penn State Penn State
9 TCU Oregon Ohio State
10 Georgia Georgia Oregon
11 Oregon Ohio State Boise State
12 Ohio State Texas Tech Texas Tech
13 Oregon St Boise State Georgia
14 Boise St Virginia Tech Mississippi
15 California Mississippi Virginia Tech
16 Virginia Tech Missouri Oklahoma State
17 Mississippi Cincinnati Cincinnati
18 Missouri Oklahoma State Oregon State
19 Florida St Oregon State Missouri
20 Oklahoma St Iowa Iowa
21 Nebraska Brigham Young Florida State
22 Iowa Georgia Tech Georgia Tech
23 Pittsburgh Florida State West Virginia
24 Georgia Tech Michigan State Michigan State
25 Cincinnati California Brigham Young

The regular season is over and my system has determined the two teams that will play for the national championship: Florida and Oklahoma.

The Fighting PZs come in at #708.

RankTeamRecordQuality
1Florida12-18.4005
2Oklahoma12-18.2208
3Texas11-18.1775
4Southern Cal11-18.0956
5Texas Tech11-17.6739
6Penn State11-17.6547
7Utah12-07.5449
8Alabama12-17.5169
9Ohio State10-27.1713
10Boise St12-07.0771

Texas finishes just ahead of Oklahoma and should be playing in the Big 12 championship game according to my system. Florida’s hold of the #1 spot has narrowed. The first four teams—Florida, Texas, USC, and Oklahoma—have set themselves apart from the rest. The next four—Alabama, Texas Tech, Penn State, and Utah—are also set apart from the pack. If I was organizing a four or eight team playoff I have clear evidence for who gets in and who gets left out.

So what does this system say about the mess in the Big 12 South? Well when I parse it out into head-to-head, common opponents, non-common conference opponents, and non-conference opponents we get the following rankings:

  • Head-To-Head: Oklahoma, Texas, Texas-Tech
  • Common: Texas, Texas-Tech, Oklahoma
  • Conference: Texas, Oklahoma, Texas-Tech
  • Non-Conference: Texas, Oklahoma, Texas-Tech

Texas wins three out of the four categories. Although Oklahoma beat TCU and Cincinnati, they get really punished by the system for playing Chattanooga. I think Texas ends up favored by my system for several reasons:

  1. Texas beat Missouri, the best team in the Big 12 North.
  2. Texas blew out Kansas, the second best team in the Big 12 North.
  3. Texas’s cupcakes were obviously superior to Oklahoma’s cupcakes.
  4. Texas beat Oklahoma.

Not like that is going to satisfy anyone. … Today, we go up to 11 on the front page:

RankTeamRecordQuality
1Florida11-18.2815
2Texas11-18.1340
3Southern Cal10-18.1158
4Oklahoma11-18.0417
5Alabama12-07.6786
6Texas Tech11-17.6156
7Penn State11-17.6133
8Utah12-07.5020
9Ohio State10-27.1159
10Boise St12-07.0287
11Georgia9-36.9550

Texas Tech drops, and Texas maintains a lead over Oklahoma.

RankTeamRecordQuality
1Florida10-18.2616
2Texas10-18.1485
3Southern Cal9-18.0230
4Oklahoma10-17.8945
5Alabama11-07.6695
6Penn State11-17.6300
7Texas Tech10-17.5917
8Utah12-07.4408
9Georgia9-27.2727
10Ohio State10-27.1104

Texas Tech’s blowout of Oklahoma State still wasn’t strong enough into jump them in top two. They still jumped ahead of a Bama team still looking for a second blow out victory over a top team.

RankTeamRecordQuality
1Florida8-18.5213
2Texas9-18.2336
3Southern Cal8-18.2192
4Texas Tech10-08.0160
5Alabama10-07.8028
6Oklahoma9-17.7687
7Utah10-07.6122
8Penn State9-17.5863
9Georgia8-27.4115
10North Carolina7-27.3216

Florida takes over the top spot after beating Georgia and having Texas lose. Texas still has enough quality wins to stay at #2. Alabama and Texas Tech are a bit lower because they don’t have as many huge victories as the other two. If Texas Tech can win big against one of its future opponents, they’ll move up. Alabama might need to blow out LSU or Auburn if it wants to finish the regular season at number 1.

RankTeamRecordQuality
1Florida7-18.5834
2Texas8-18.2730
3Southern Cal7-18.0990
4Penn State9-07.9110
5Alabama9-07.8763
6Texas Tech9-07.7709
7Oklahoma8-17.7539
8Georgia7-27.4821
9Utah9-07.3119
10Missouri7-27.1778

No big upsets last week but there was some movement in the top 10 since the Week 8 poll, with Florida and Georgia gaining on other teams after blowout victories.

Here is the top 10; the full rankings are below the fold.

RankTeamRecordQuality
1Texas8-08.6032
2Southern Cal6-18.3271
3Florida6-18.1127
4Penn State9-07.8389
5Alabama8-07.7923
6Georgia7-17.6596
7Oklahoma7-17.5535
8Texas Tech8-07.3634
9Oklahoma St7-17.3474
10Utah8-07.2981

Now that we are three weeks into the College Football season, it’s time to rank the teams based on their quality. I used the algorithm that I described last year with the changes the end of last season.

The basic premise is that each of the teams in the dataset is positioned on a number line. Teams push and pull against the teams that they have played. The basic rules are that teams that win should push down/pull up teams that lost, and teams that lost should push up/pull down the teams that won. If a game is close, then the teams should be close on the number line, and if a game is a blowout, then teams should be far apart on the number line. The net quality of a team is derived from the quality scores that each of its opponents and games give to it.

Here is my top ten. If you drag your mouse over a team you will see a popup containing their best and worst games based on the quality that they inherit from those games.

RankTeamRecordQuality
1Texas7-08.5224
2Southern Cal5-18.2563
3Alabama7-07.8016
4Florida5-17.7373
5Oklahoma6-17.6749
6Penn State8-07.6145
7Georgia6-17.5411
8Oklahoma St7-07.4501
9Ohio State7-17.2210
10Utah8-07.2091

For all the rankings, read on.

Good News, Everyone!

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Tiffany and I saw The Dark Knight last night at our local, college, 5-screen, normal seating theater. We noticed around 8:30 that there was an early, midnight screening of the movie, so we decided to get tickets online and go. I didn’t expected it, but Tiffany was right; the movie was packed to the gills. We’ve never seen Mission Valley Theater fill up, not even when we went to a special screening of the last Harry Potter film. Ever seat had a butt in it—481 tickets sold, according to the co-owner who addressed the crowd and ordered the sound up to eleven. (No other movies were playing at the time.)

Now on to the movie; The Dark Knight is a great movie to see with 480 of your closest friends. It is one of the best movies I’ve ever seen. Probably the best action and superhero movie yet made, better than Spider-Man, better than Iron Man, better than Batman Returns. It is probably the best movie that I’ve seen since Brokeback Mountain.

Heath Ledger created an amazingly psychotic Joker. He brought forth a twisted and dark sense of humor and mayhem that was only hinted at by Jack Nicholson and Mark Hamill. He made us both laugh and cringe. He’s going to get an Oscar nomination and has a good shot at being awarded the statue. Too bad he can’t be there to collect it.

Go out see the movie, and take 480 friends with you. You won’t regret it.

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